[The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD


10 thoughts on “[The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD

  1. says: [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD

    [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD I was suspicious of Friedman’s argument for being able to foresee the future because it essentially boiled down

  2. says: [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD

    Read The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD George Friedman ☆ 4 Download I chose to read this book because someone asked people's opinion on an email list I couldn't buy into it enough to finish itFirst we are asked to accept geopolitical analysis then we are asked to accept that George Friedman's analysis using geopolitics is accurate and that his angle is the only one that countsWell I don'

  3. says: Read The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD

    George Friedman ☆ 4 Download [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD I made it through the first seven chapters in like four enthusiastic hours He talks some convincing shit about history and what we can extrapolate from history in order to better understand what the future might hold It's insightful and readable and very smart The next three chapters took about a week and I found myself constantly checking my iPhone while I was reading it I couldn't figure out why and then I realized that the guy was prob

  4. says: [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD Read The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century

    Read The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century George Friedman ☆ 4 Download Summary ´ PDF, DOC, TXT or eBook ☆ George Friedman Hmmmthis is a difficult book to write about for a number of reasons Let's take a Proustian moment and beat it to death with wordsThe most difficult is the complexity of dealing with any topic beyond the window of 5 years This is the problem w

  5. says: Summary ´ PDF, DOC, TXT or eBook ☆ George Friedman [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD George Friedman ☆ 4 Download

    [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD More like a long New Yorker article than an actual book by which I mean it's at points breezy totally accessible and engaging the book by Friedman is something of a wonder As a lover of Sci Fi and Speculative Fiction I thought I'd find out what someone who gets paid for a living to think about the future thoug

  6. says: George Friedman ☆ 4 Download [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD

    George Friedman ☆ 4 Download Summary ´ PDF, DOC, TXT or eBook ☆ George Friedman Read The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century Books aimed at predicting the future are always dangerous and often reek of charlatanism Books on politics and war are regularly partisan and emotional It's impressive that The Next 100 years a book that attempt

  7. says: [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD Summary ´ PDF, DOC, TXT or eBook ☆ George Friedman George Friedman ☆ 4 Download

    [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD A very interesting book detailed Of course the further it moves away from our times the speculative it gets Still since the publication in 2009 time has proven the author right on several issues It has taken me a long time to read I didn't find it easy but well worth while

  8. says: [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD Summary ´ PDF, DOC, TXT or eBook ☆ George Friedman Read The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century

    Read The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century George Friedman ☆ 4 Download Summary ´ PDF, DOC, TXT or eBook ☆ George Friedman This book bases projections on so many layers of assumptions that all depend on each other being true that it's discussion of power and national relationships are probably as likely to come to pass as me lassoing the Easter Bunny and eating himher for Easter dinner Aside from the silliness of the arguments in this book any new occurrence can completely destroy all of Friedman's projections For example how will the rece

  9. says: [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD

    [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD This book is based on an intriguing idea that it is possible to predict the future based on geopolitical interests The author explains changes in 20 year cycles in the past and then proceeds to predict the next century The book's greatest virtue is that it looks critically at a number of commonly held beliefs about the future particularly in regard to China's future power The author does a good job of explaini

  10. says: [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD

    Read The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century [The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century] EBOOK DOWNLOAD In this 2009 version George Friedman tried to predict possible geopolitical events and major trends of the 21st century A little bit in the spirit of The rise and the fall of the Great Powers by Paul Kennedy he analyses the strengths and weakn

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Read The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century

The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century Download å PDF, DOC, TXT or eBook Summary ´ PDF, DOC, TXT or eBook ☆ George Friedman Read The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century E dawn of a new era he offers a lucid highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty first century all based on his own thorough analysis and research For example The US Jihadist war will be replaced by a new cold war with Russia; China’s role as a world power will diminish; Mexico will become. Hmmmthis is a difficult book to write about for a number of reasons Let s take a Proustian moment and beat it to death with wordsThe most difficult is the complexity of dealing with any topic beyond the window of 5 years This is the problem with futurism in general Predicting one year out is difficult but beyond 5 years you are descending into fantasya brief review of the futurist texts over the past 40 yrs proves this point Though these get a few things right most of what they have to say we now only laugh atWhat makes this book interesting is that it uses the hook of geopolitics the study of the relationship among politics and geography demography and economics especially with respect to the foreign policy of a nation This is a subject I find very interesting because it is re emerging as a legitimate area of study after years of being held in disreputeor at least being considered a tad sketchy by many academics intellectuals and populist pundits Geography is important and demography is very importantHowever Mr Friedman starts losing me around 2040 and definitely loses me in his discussion of World War III around abouts 2050he is essentially retelling WWII with a few geographic and technological shifts And I do have some trouble about discounting China I too suspect that China may be a paper dragon but to sideline it in the way he has is very suspicious I also believe his suggestion of how Mexican Americans will think of themselves and behave at the end of the 21st century especially since he leaves this issue unresolved is than a little naiveWhat do I think of this book as a whole Complicated On the one hand I do like or at least appreciate what he says mostly until the end of the 2030s but after that his ideas become almost laughableHis acceptance and dismissal of Global Warming is very disconcerting and damages his thesis deeply But his unwillingness to engage with environmental disasters that will have an enormous impact on geopolitics is also troubling Disasters that could occur over the next century are water shortages inevitable earthuakes along the Western US coast very probable the unexploded volcano under Yellowstone national park which could erupt taking most of North and Meso America with it the evolution of diseases and the coming pandemics are just a few of the things that could throw his neat rationally neat at least thesis into hazardBut as an act of imaginative future historiography it is compelling and readable It is something we should all be thinking aboutif only as a side project After all the future is where all of our children and grandchildren will have to live and we should all be concerned about the world they will find themselves in once we have turned to dustSo in the end I would recommend this bookbut with the caveats you will have met aboveNot a boring book but one that could have used better writing a comprehensive and analytical imagination and a richer palette of variables Still all in all a good attemptPSThe biggest problem with this book is that it sports a blurb by the hysterical xenophobic Lou Dobbsone of the strangest pundits out there today and a thoroughly degraded human being

Summary ´ PDF, DOC, TXT or eBook ☆ George FriedmanThe Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century

The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century Download å PDF, DOC, TXT or eBook Summary ´ PDF, DOC, TXT or eBook ☆ George Friedman Read The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century An important force on the geopolitical stage; and new technologies and cultural trends will radically alter the way we live and fight wars Riveting reading from first to last The Next 100 Years is a fascinating exploration of what the future holds for all of us For continual updated analysis and supplemental material go to wwwStratforc. This book is based on an intriguing idea that it is possible to predict the future based on geopolitical interests The author explains changes in 20 year cycles in the past and then proceeds to predict the next century The book s greatest virtue is that it looks critically at a number of commonly held beliefs about the future particularly in regard to China s future power The author does a good job of explaining why events generally do not always continue along a smooth path and hence why extrapolation does not always work I thought his anaylsis of the next 20 years sounded fairly realistic but beyond that it began to resemble science fiction However to his credit the author acknowledges the problems of predicting that far out into the future and says that his predictions will become less accurate as they go farther out The main problems with his argument in my view are as follows1 The author dismisses the present economic crisis as something that will uickly pass as other similar crises have in the past However he does not discuss the role of debt in creating the current crisis nor does he discuss how a debt fueled crisis might differ from other types of economic downturns This is particularly striking in that he claims that Americans are in a period of high mobility and will remain so for the next 20 years but he doesn t talk about how being underwater on your mortgage may make it hard to maintain that mobility2 The author dismisses the role of religion by saying that modern economic arrangements will make traditional ways of life and hence traditional values obsolete While I think he makes some good points about how technological and economic change will disrupt traditional values I think he is much too self assured about how well the modern world will deal with this He seems to dismiss population contraction as not necessarily worth worrying about which may be true but likely is not Furthr while he argues that traditionalists are fighting a rear guard action that they can t win he doesn t discuss how religious traditionalists who generally have larger than average families could significantly increase their percentage of an overall declining population This is a significant issue for the future particularly in democratic countries3 The author doesn t say anything at all about India s role in the next century I think this is a tremendous oversight as India is likely to play a major role and should not be overlooked so easily I think it has a much better chance of being a signficiant player in the 21st century than does China but the author hardly even mentions itOverall I would say this is a worthwhile book with some important weaknesses

George Friedman ☆ 4 Download

The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century Download å PDF, DOC, TXT or eBook Summary ´ PDF, DOC, TXT or eBook ☆ George Friedman Read The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century A fascinating eye opening and often shocking look at what lies ahead for the US and the world from one of our most incisive futurists In his thought provoking new book George Friedman founder of STRATFOR the preeminent private intelligence and forecasting firm focuses on what he knows best the future Positing that civilization is at th. I chose to read this book because someone asked people s opinion on an email list I couldn t buy into it enough to finish itFirst we are asked to accept geopolitical analysis then we are asked to accept that George Friedman s analysis using geopolitics is accurate and that his angle is the only one that countsWell I don t buy it Most of the time he picks and chooses what specific world events to highlight to prove his geopolitical forecast I kept thinking of other events he ignored I also kept thinking of a vastly different interpretation of those events What it comes down to is it s all his opinion and since he picks and chooses what history we should look at to prove his points his forecasts are built on sticks and cardsEspecially dubious are the premises that countries will act in their best what Machiavellian interests even when one person is essentially making those decisions So George Bush Jr acted the way he did because it was the next step for our country to take RightYou have to buy Reaganomics you have to buy that this crash of 2008 was just a blip and we still have prosperity for a real crash 20 some years from now and nowhere does he take into account peak oil having anything to do with future economic woesat least as far as I gotAn example He says these alliances and maneuvers are not difficult to predict As I have said they follow well established patterns that have been ingrained in history for many centuries What I am doing is seeing how traditional patterns play themselves out in the context of the twenty first century this after countless arguments that could conclude just the opposite of what he posited as givensHe actually thinks Japan will rise again as a military power Right This would completely ignore the anti war effect that the carpet bombings of Tokyo and the atom bombs had on the country I think the country has discovered what prosperity can be had by choosing not to have to build a military industrial complex

  • Paperback
  • 253
  • The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century
  • George Friedman
  • English
  • 21 September 2020
  • 9780767923057